How to find value bets in football?
To be a successful bettor, you have to understand the difference between a team’s chances to win – and the chances of the same team winning in comparison to betting odds offered. The concept of value is key for long term betting success.
When you sharpen your intuition, betting on teams that seem to have no chance won’t be so difficult. The ability to recognize the unexpected outcome of the match results in the most lucrative bet. The best UK betting promotions are on this website and they will help you to get your head start.
What are value bets?
Value bets are all bets where the probability of the given outcome is greater than the bookmakers predicted, or simply put, greater than the odds. When value betting, you will place a bet that has a larger chance of winning than implied by the odds.
It may sound simple but to foresee the outcome of a match better than a bookmaker is really difficult. Prediction like that will require a special set of skills, plenty of time and experience. It won’t be easy to put your money on a team nobody else thinks has a realistic chance to win. However, taking risks is what makes a successful bettor.
How to find value bets?
To find value bets in football, or any other sport you need to develop a sense for predictions. It will take time and effort so don’t expect to get your first matches right. Mistakes are common, even for experienced bettors. However, let’s take you through some steps which will help you to develop a strategy.
Always review your results
Keep track of your progress and markdown your winning and losing bets. Compare them and see why you thought you will win the losing bets – and what made you choose the right side to win the bet. Did you trust your gut? Did that work? Review your conclusions and assessments of matches to make better decisions later.
Reviewing how sports league has performed in recent years will be very important. Home game advantage will make a huge difference for some teams, while for others, not so much. Every team has their own style that makes them more successful against certain opponents. Knowing the style of play of both teams is one of the most important things for quality prediction.
Specialize
It’s a good idea to focus only on one sport. Making predictions for even one sport can be difficult and it will take time. For that reason, it is better to focus either on soccer, baseball, basketball or something else – choose your favourite and stick to it.
There are a lot of tournaments and leagues, especially if you choose football as your priority. In case it becomes too much, you can always limit yourself to just one league or tournament and stick to the events inside of the tournament. Choose what you know the best and what you enjoy watching.
Create your own odds
This will be a great exercise and it will help you to develop the ability to find value bets. Look at the upcoming fixtures and think of leagues and tournaments you want to place a bet on. Come up with your own odds, without looking at any bookmaker offers. Just place down the odds you think are correct, in your opinion.
This task can be extremely helpful for punters who are just starting out. Setting your own odds will help you to understand the process much better and to predict the outcome. The point of this exercise is to develop an intuitive sense of the value.
